Sunday, November 2, 2008

A Losing Race?

With only two days to go, polls are being taken and it would appear that McCain is going to lose. 4 years ago, Bush carried many swing states that may be difficult for McCain to achieve. Does McCain have what it takes?

For the past two weeks, McCain has been spending a lot of time in Pennsylvania trying to convince voters to vote for him. Although Pennsylvania is Democratic, and Bush lost Pennsylvania four years ago, McCain seems to believe that he has a good shot at taking Pennsylvania. Should McCain be worrying about Virginia instead?

It seems that Virginia has become a swing state in this election. Although Virginia has usually been a state won by Republicans, in recent years, Virginia is becoming an example of the "crumbling of the GOP coalition." Virginia may yet be a harder state for McCain to win.

These two states are important swing states along with many others. For McCain, seemingly a maverick in a losing battle, these states could cost him the elections. Does McCain have what it takes to win these swing states knowing that Bush barely won them? Even though Bush had lost by only 2.5% vote in Pennsylvania, should McCain have focused on swing states that he could have had a better chance at? Like Ohio?

1 comment:

Ben Geva said...

A while ago my dad showed me this video of the CNN Magic Map of the campaign, and the commenter is saying that McCain needs to focus mainly on Pennsylvania and Virgina to win. What I think is funny is that if he loses even one swing state he won't win, yet he only needs to focus on two. Good job at math, CNN.

Here is the video:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qK3r4BiTFgo