According to the 2010 Census, the states that are more Republican than Democratic will gain half a dozen more seats in the House of Representatives. Most of the states that are gaining seats in the House were the states that Obama lost in the 2008 presidential election.
The states that are losing seats in the House, Ohio and New York for example, are states that Obama won. If the same states still favor Obama in the next election, Obama will be short six votes. Some states have shifted into a more Republican side since the 2008 election which may cause Obama to lose more than six electoral votes in the next election.
With the states that lean toward Republican gaining new seats in the House, the 2012 election map will turn more Republican than Democratic, which may cause Obama to not get re-elected in the next election.
In the last election, a lot of states had Republican’s in full control of many state governments. With Republican’s gaining more power in the House, do you think Obama is in danger of losing his spot as president in the next election? Or do you think Obama will step up his game and try to shift people’s views into a more democratic side?
If Obama wants to win the election in 2012, he will need to prove the Republican’s wrong and win over more states by making decisions that are more beneficial to the US rather than helping other countries, which is my opinion at least. Hopefully Obama will be able to pull through and win the election, unless everyone starts losing faith in him and more states start to lean toward the Republican side.
2 comments:
I don't think that 6 seats would make much of a difference. Obama had 365 electoral votes for him in 2008. Get rid of 6 and you have 359, which is still a large enough margin to win the presidency.
Cris is right, but I think a lot of Obama's chances for reelection will depend on how he handles his next two years. The success of his first two years is debatable; although he has successfully passed measures recently, his approval rating has been staggeringly low for most of the two years. If he is successful in cooperating with and handling the Republican Congress coming in January, Americans (including Republicans) will have more confidence that he can lead the country effectively.
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