After Romney's recent wins in florida and Nevada, where he won with sizable margins, do you think there is still time and likelihood that Gingrich or Santorum can gain enough momentum become the frontrunner? Or is it to late for either of them to gain enough traction to overcome their losses so far? Even though only a handful of primaries and caucuses have taken place, do you think Romney will hold on to his lead?
Sunday, February 5, 2012
Gingrich Looks Ahead to ‘Super Tuesday’
In the wake of his ~50% to ~21% loss to Romney in Nevada, Newt Gingrich has already begun to look ahead to "Super Tuesday." Scheduled for Tuesday, March 6, 2012, this date will see ten states having their primaries or caucuses. Gingrich believes he will do well on this day, and that by the time the Texas primary rolls around on April 3, he will be far ahead in the delegate count. Mr. Santorum discussed similar beliefs, citing Minnesota and Colorado as two states he expects to do well in. Both Santorum and Gingrich adamantly deny that this race is close to over. When Gingrich appeared on Meet the Press this morning, he reiterated this belief, and aggressively attacked Romney, especially for his comment regarding the "poor."
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I do not think it’s too late for the rest of the republican candidates, at least not for Gingrich. Even though he has 2 consecutive loses within 5 days, when Super Tuesday comes Gingrich will be in a friendly territory. There are southern conservative states (Georgia and Alabama) where Gingrich can win the votes. On Super Tuesday there will be 437 delegates that can be acquired in contrast to Nevada and Florida that awarded 78 delegates together. Gingrich also has the large amount of money needed to stay in the race longer. Of course let’s not forget that unless a candidate has the magic number of delegates to win the nomination before the Florida convention, the race is not completely over yet.
I don't think it's too late for either candidate to gain momentum to overcome their losses. Santorum is clearly picking up momentum with his caucus wins in Colorado and Minnesota, as well as his primary win in Missouri. These wins should give him a boost in the race, with more media coverage and attention. I think it will be difficult for either candidate to surpass Romney, but I definitely think it is possible. There is still time to sway unsure voters and gain support. I think there is still a lot that can happen and "Super Tuesday" will be a very interesting and exciting day to watch.
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