With Santorum winning the states that Gingrich so desperately needed it would seem that Santorum has defied all the odds and statistics that placed him as the runner up in this primary. Although Newt Gingrich lost these southern states he still refuses to give up his campaign just yet. However, Romney still seems to winning by a fair margin with much more overall popularity. With this stunning victory however, it would seem Santorum has a real shot, what do you think?
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The race right now is down to who gets the most delegates. I still believe that Romney will eventually win the nomination because compared to the other two, he is still the most "electable". Gingrich, who is very conservative, still cannot win in the most conservative parts of the country. Santorum is definitely receiving attention from the press, boosting his free publicity. Still, I feel the even split between Santorum, Romeny, and Gingrich cuts into the delegate race and I believe the results just show the disunity in the Republican party.
To be honest I'm actually rooting for Santorum to win the nomination. Given he is much, much more extreme and conservative than Romney, if he actually beats Romney for the GOP nomination, there's no doubt that all the moderates and independents will lean towards Obama in November.
Well, I understand why Gingrich hasn't given up his campaign. Given that the primaries are barely half over, there's still a small chance for him to revive his campaign and start winning delegates. But then again, in order to secure the nomination, you need the majority of the delegates (at least 1,144, to be exact). Given Gingrich only has a hundred something right now, his chances for receiving the nomination are really quite slim.
I have to agree with Alice. As we saw in the video in class, Newt Gingrich made a lot of enemies in his own party as a result of his deceptive tactics. This could ultimately cause him to lose support of key delegates. Although Santorum is doing well at the moment, it seems that he still does not have as much popularity or name recognition as Romney and Gingrich. As a result, this will harm him during later elections. I also highly agree with Alice's comment that this is just a strong example of how the Republican party is in such a disunited state. No one can really know how the election will go. Overall, I think Romney stands the best chance.
Michelle brings up a good point when she reminds us that we still have many more primaries to go, and the remaining contests could alter the state of this race.
Regarding the "disunity" in the Republican party, I agree with Alice and Jennifer that this shows a lack of unity in the Republican party, between those who are more moderate, like Romney, and those who are more conservative, like Gingrich and Santorum. However, as numerous TV commentators have constantly mentioned, Santorum and Gingrich's similar values might be dividing the conservative votes. Were one of them to leave the race, I think the other would receive many of the other's supporters. This further proves that this race is still not over, and most likely will not be over for a long time.
Just another thought - Ron Paul has only 48 delegates, which does not look too promising for him in the long run. Were he to drop out, who do you think his supporters would go to?
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