Mitt Romney is doing well since he has now added two old-fashioned supporters to include to his wins in 3 states last week while heading towards Super Tuesday. He now has 207 delegates after his wins in Michigan, Arizona, and Washington. Corburn, a tea party member, wrote in the Oklahoman newspaper that, “Romney has done hard things. He has turned businesses around, told people hard truths about what needed to be done, inspired confidence and overcome excuses. Romney is not a career politician or a career legislator. As a former governor and business leader, he is an executive who knows how to use executive power”. Corburn seems to say that Romney is not only the leader, but is looking like the leader.
Does anyone still stand a chance? Well Rohmey has 207 delegates, Santorum has 86, Ron Paul has 46, and Newt Gingrich trails with 39. It takes 1,144 delegates to win the Republican nomination and run against President Obama in November. Gingrich seems to be falling behind. I remember when he was one of the top competitors in the race. Does he even stand a chance still? To keep alive in his campaign, Gingrich needs to win in Georgia in addition to some additional states. “Polls show [Gingrich] with a solid lead in the state he represented in Congress, and Gingrich spoke confidently Sunday about the road ahead”.
Personally, I think Romney is going to take the Republican win. He is far enough ahead to secure his win and he seems to be popular enough. But is if he does win can he defeat Obama? I guess we will just have to wait and see!
3 comments:
While it appears that Romney ultimately will secure nomination for the Republican ticket, I do not think we should any conclusions hastily. According to the following website, 437 delegates are up for grabs tomorrow, enough to completely turn this race on its head if certain scenarios were to play out (http://www.policymic.com/articles/4823/super-tuesday-2012-preview-everything-you-need-to-know/category_list)
You are right that Romney has been a solid candidate so far, who, despite some minor gaffes, has for the most part been able to keep his campaign together. I personally think that he will be the Republican nominee, bu as I stated above, it is too early to tell. After tomorrow, we should have a better idea, after we see how the contests play out.
Having seen the results of Super Tuesday, it is obvious to me that Romney is still in the lead. He currently has more than twice as many delegates as Santorum (http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/delegates?hp). However one interesting result of Super Tuesday was that Sarah Palin back Gingrich (http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/global-filipino/world/03/07/12/sarah-palin-backs-gingrich-leaves-door-open-herself). I think this will hurt him in the long run and put him further behind Romney and Santorum because she hurt McCain's support in the 2008 election. This simply will make it easier for Romney to secure the Presidential Nomination. In addition, as a more moderate Republican, I think that he and Obama (a more moderate Democrat) will have a close race.
I read in the paper today that Romney now has more delegates than all the other GOP candidates combined; according to CNN, he has also spent almost as much as Santorum, Gingrich and Paul have, combined (http://articles.cnn.com/2012-03-05/opinion/opinion_brazile-gop-primary_1_mitt-romney-herman-cain-gop-race?_s=PM:OPINION). In light of this fact, I am certain that Romney will eventually win the Republican nomination, but how quickly he will do so is a noteworthy debate. There are a couple of Southern primaries coming up next week (Mississippi and Alabama), which may give Santorum some extra momentum to continue a competitive nomination campaign for weeks. Ultimately, I agree with Sophia in that Romney and Obama would have a close race, or at least a far closer race than the relatively extreme Santorum would have with the President.
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