With a booming economy second to only the U.S., China's representative serves as an important factor in negotiations and discussions. Even though the economic growth in China has reached a relatively low point, they still serve as one of the most important factors in economic discussions. As the two international superpowers look past the conflict over currnet issues in Taiwan, they are in communication as expectations of Xi Jinping attending are slowly rising. As Xi Jinping missed the G20 (Group of 20) summit, which was another major summit discussing international economic and financial stability, suspicion is starting to rise as to whether Xi Jinping honors the nations and the collective economic benefits.
Wednesday, September 27, 2023
The APEC Summit. What's Happening and Who's Going?
With a booming economy second to only the U.S., China's representative serves as an important factor in negotiations and discussions. Even though the economic growth in China has reached a relatively low point, they still serve as one of the most important factors in economic discussions. As the two international superpowers look past the conflict over currnet issues in Taiwan, they are in communication as expectations of Xi Jinping attending are slowly rising. As Xi Jinping missed the G20 (Group of 20) summit, which was another major summit discussing international economic and financial stability, suspicion is starting to rise as to whether Xi Jinping honors the nations and the collective economic benefits.
Tuesday, September 26, 2023
New Jersey Senator Bob Menendez Faces Federal Indictment on Bribery Charges
“AOC Says Sen. Bob Menendez Should Resign after Federal Indictment.” YouTube, YouTube, 25 Sept. 2023, www.youtube.com/watch?v=WePvgRb2sc8.
Davis, Susan. “Senate Democrats to Bob Menendez: Resign.” NPR, NPR, 26 Sept. 2023, www.npr.org/2023/09/26/1201727844/senate-democrats-to-bob-menendez-resign.
“Defiant Sen. Bob Menendez Speaks out after Indictment, Will Not Resign.” ABC News, ABC News Network, abcnews.go.com/Politics/sen-bob-menendez-facing-corruption-charges-rebuffs-calls/story?id=103463381. Accessed 26 Sept. 2023.
“Legal Experts Compare Menendez Indictments Past and Present.” YouTube, YouTube, 26 Sept. 2023, www.youtube.com/watch?v=iQpdCdE2pB4.
“Sen. Bob Menendez Faces Growing Calls from Democrats to Resign after Federal Indictment.” YouTube, YouTube, 25 Sept. 2023, www.youtube.com/watch?v=QAoBw9hbmgA.
“Sen. Bob Menendez Indicted on Fraud, Extortion.” YouTube, YouTube, 22 Sept. 2023, www.youtube.com/watch?v=-vWhjKhG12o.
Monday, September 25, 2023
Why Russia Won't Collapse.
In February 4th 2022, Russia, a once seemingly dominant country in the world with the 2nd strongest military, launched a full scale invasion of Ukraine. Although a strong military, Russia has not kept itself from corruption, and as of September 2023, the war still rages on. However, it's not like the world is just watching, many countries and citizens are doing their best to support Ukraine in its war against Russia. The West has been hitting Russia with sanctions and as of April, they hit Russia with a sanction on the basis of “War Crimes”. However, Russia will not fall, in an economical sense. Sanctions are a means to damage the economy, however, in the case of Russia; they don’t care. The citizens could be starving however Russia will still go on with its war.
Russia is a country with the lowest national debt, meaning that if Russia wants to, they can go in a deficit for the next 10 years and still come out. Analysts have claimed “Russia is usually one of the ten least-indebted countries in the world. Russia’s debt is currently at a total of just over 302 billion USD.” Thus they can go on with this war for as long as they want until the populace has had enough.
Although Russia can hold on, that doesn't mean that it has not been hurt by sanctions, one of Russia's biggest exports is that of oil, not just oil however, natural gas. This natural gas is one of the leading energy sources that produces a somewhat clean energy. This venture of selling this energy however, has been cut short in Europe. Europe has placed heavy sanctions on Russia and aims to cut off Russian supply in the near future. An example can be seen in Nord Stream 2 where Germany has cut off its construction and its certification.
This pipe, honestly should never have been a thing in the first place. While benefiting Germany in the first place, many countries including the USA detested the pipe's construction as increasing Germany's reliance on a power such as Russia was detrimental to NATO’s goal of fighting against Russia. Like, even Trump, who is not really seen in a very good light within younger generations and has done many questionable things, has outright gone against the construction. Although it is now not gonna be finished, Germany’s insistence on this pipeline can be seen as a weak point of NATO and its future as many countries have their own initiatives and objectives they wish to complete.
This cancellation of Nord Stream 2 however does not mean Russia can no longer export its resources, when one buyer is out, another buyer is sure to come in. This time however, it came in the form of India and China, both of which are buying larger and larger quantities of natural gas and oil. This increased purchase of Russian energy is what Russia needs to keep its war with Ukraine going.
In my personal opinion, Russia, while being targeted by the West, will not fall. As of September 17th 2023, Russia’s war with Ukraine is still ongoing and has seen no stop. Russia's unstoppable economic power along with Russia’s low national debt has seen to it that Russia will have the money to back its war and will not stop until they reclaim Ukraine or what's left of it. However, that cannot be said about Ukraine. Russia is at this point playing a war of attrition where it throws money and men into the war to whittle down Ukraine until the western powers see that it is no longer worth supporting Ukraine. The USA and its government runs under a system of population governance where the government is influenced and run by the people that inhabit the country the government is formed upon. Therefore, any sway in the populace to no longer support the war will result in western or US support running dry just, and like Afghanistan and Vietnam, Ukraine will too fall under the pressure of the enemy.
https://www.cnn.com/2022/02/22/business/nord-stream-2-germany-russia/index.html
https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/countries-by-national-debt
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-50875935F35 Crash and its Effects on the Global Exportation of the Aircraft.
The F35 is one of the most advanced fighters of its time, with the most expensive military program to date. Yet, it seems that as with all technology, it is not immune to malfunctions. Recently, a F35, more specifically an F35B, which is the US Marine Corps version of the F35. One with VTOL or STOVAL capabilities also known as short takeoff and vertical landing or vertical take off and landing. This is by far the most expensive version of the F35 and so it seems to hurt the Arms forces the most than if any other jet crashed with its recent destruction.
Flight reports indicate that the pilot had safely ejected however the plane did not go down for quite a while. In the police call the pilot made to local PD, he claimed that he no longer knew where the plane had gone as weather did not allow for it. Another problem for the US Armed Forces is the fact that they were trying to find a 5th generation plane. The 5th generation is known for their stealth capabilities and so the search for the aircraft was decently long compared to civilian aircraft crashes.
This recent plane crash could have complications around the world, although America is the one who built these aircraft and did all the research. Many other countries are buying this aircraft, one major buying is Britain. This accident could have huge implications on orders of the F35 and the contracts already established between Lockheed martin and other countries. One such example is the Boeing 737 Max. This plane is infamous for its crashes months after its introduction. The plane had such a bad reputation, it was grounded by most of the world for months as Boeing tried to find and fix the problem, which by the way, culminated from large corruption within the FAA and Boeing executives.
Similarly to the 737’s grounding, the US Marine Corps has issued a grounding of all F35B’s within its fleet pending investigation of the crash. The F35 already has a huge negative press with cost overruns and delays. Whether this outcome further negatively affects the reputation of the F35 and its flightworthiness is up to the investigation along with if countries such as Britain or Japan continue their contracts of purchasing the F35 for their airfleets.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Martin_F-35_Lightning_II
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/20/business/boeing-737-accidents.htmlSept. 30th Government Shutdown Deadline
Every year, congress passes a budget around 12 bills that fund every government agency for the next fiscal year. This is an extremely crucial budget that is needed to be passed every year in order for our government to operate. If not passed, a government shutdown will occur causing delayed paychecks to all federal workers and military personnel (4 million total civilians) and rattle America's financial markets. If congress doesn't pass this budget by September 30th, 2023, our government will shut down.
It's extremely hard to get this bill passed because we have a split congress. The House of Representatives is made of majority republicans while our Senate is controlled by a majority of Democrats. The budget being passed by both the House and Senate in such polarizing times is very unlikely. The Republicans in the house are taking advantage of this opportunity to demand aggressive spending cuts. Speaker of the House, Kevin McCarthy, tried to compromise on both ends but ended up shutting down congress early for the weekend. He said to the news “This is a whole new concept of individuals that just wants to burn the whole place down”. Speaker Kevin McCarthy needs to find compromise because if he doesn’t listen to the republicans, they have the option to remove him as speaker and if he doesn’t listen to the democrats, no bill gets passed.
There are three possible outcomes that will occur by October 1st. One, Congress can’t agree on anything and our government is shut down. This will lead to millions of federal workers not being paid, the stock market becoming unstable, and the travel sector losing up to 140 million dollars a day. Two, Congress passes a Continuing Resolution “CR” which pushes the deadline for a government shutdown by another month or two. This would allow for more time to compromise and avoid the looming shutdown but would inevitably just be pushing the deadline back with no real solution. Three, Congress passes some or all of the 12 bills and the government continues to operate as normal. While this would be the best case, it is highly unlikely with the polarization of political parties within Congress.
It’s important to know what happens during a government shutdown and who's responsible for it. From this people can learn how to avoid personal disaster during a shutdown, how to keep personal finances safe, and knowing the job security of federal workers. Understanding the congressional budget process is an important factor in our education about different powers held in the constitution and how each branch of the government is affected by the federal budget which pays for everything they operate.
https://www.usnews.com/news/top-news/articles/2023-09-23/us-house-panel-approves-four-funding-bills-government-shutdown-deadline-approaches
Poland No Longer Supplying Ukraine With Weapons Over Grain Deal Disputes
Sunday, September 24, 2023
120,000 Ethnic Armenians Expected to Flee Amid Fears of Ethnic Cleansing
A tough choice looms for approximately 120,000 ethnic Armenians living in Nagorno-Karabakh, an ethnic enclave in Azerbaijan—whether to abandon their homeland and seek refuge in Armenia, or stay, but risk experiencing potential ethnic cleansing and repression. This follows a swift and forceful military operation initiated by Azerbaijan, whereby the region was captured earlier this week.
Nagorno-Karabakh, though acknowledged globally as part of Azerbaijan, has been under ethnic Armenian control for the last three decades. Azerbaijan's recent military offensive took control of the region and killed over 200 ethnic Armenians. Faced with military pressure, ethnic Armenians in the region were forced to declare a ceasefire.
"The 120,000 ethnic Armenians of Nagorno-Karabakh will leave for Armenia as they do not want to live as part of Azerbaijan and fear ethnic cleansing, the leadership of the breakaway region told Reuters on Sunday" (CNBC).
The Arminian Prime Minister, Nikol Pashinyan has said that the Arminian government will “lovingly welcome our brothers and sisters from Nagorno-Karabakh.” However, where the 120,000 potential refugees will live is unclear.
Armenia has also expressed dissatisfaction with its long-standing ally, Russia, citing a lackluster defense of the area. However, Russia’s foreign minister dismisses the accusations as “ludicrous.”(BBC) Russia has positioned hundreds of “peacekeepers” in the area for years and in general, Russia serves as the dominant power for the region as a whole. Armenia may seek to strengthen ties with the US in the future.
Meanwhile, Azerbaijan continues to reassure the ethnic Armenians who choose to remain in Nagorno-Karabakh, promising equal treatment and integration. Azerbaijan has also repeatedly denied allegations of intended ethnic cleansing, as Azerbaijan Foreign Minister, Bayramov has said “I wish to reiterate that Azerbaijan is determined to reintegrate ethnic Armenian residents of the Karabakh region of Azerbaijan as equal citizens.”
The crisis is inherently complex, presenting not only a grave humanitarian challenge but also underscoring intricate geopolitical dynamics in the South Caucasus. The area is of strategic importance due to oil and gas pipelines. It is also home to an extremely ethnically diverse population (the cause of many past conflicts). Countries such as Russia, the US, Turkey and Iran have also been jostling for influence in the area.
Already the first wave of 400 refugees has crossed the border into Armenia. More will likely follow in the coming days.
This story is very new so it's likely more information will be available soon (although the general conflict in the region has been somewhat ongoing since the unraveling of the soviet union). Hopefully one of next week's bloggers can provide an update of sorts.
Regardless of what happens next, this serves as a reminder to be grateful for the social freedoms we experience in the US. The freedom to worship is not global and unfortunately, conflicts like this result from the lack of acceptance. (Armenians are Christian, while Azerbaijan is primarily home to Muslims).
It will be interesting to see how the US national government exercises its right to deal with foreign affairs over the next days and weeks. Advances in global connectivity, communication, and technology have led to more foreign issues being raised with the US government, representing an informal change to the Constitution as Congress and the president hold more power than in the 18th century. What do you think the US government should do if anything?
Tuesday, September 19, 2023
Tens of Thousands Protest Climate Change - Demand Biden End Fossil Fuels
On Sunday, tens of thousands of people took to the streets of Manhattan in a march against climate change. While previous protests have been directed at the government as a whole, the message of Sunday's march was more focused as according to NPR, “protesters [called] on Biden to stop federal approvals of new fossil fuel projects, phase out oil and gas drilling on public lands, and declare climate change a national emergency.” This protest comes a week before the UN General Assembly in New York City.
Climate change is undoubtedly a large issue as we’ve just experienced the hottest summer in recorded history and climate related disasters such as floods and fires have decimated countries all across the globe from Canada, to Libya, to China. It seems that every week, a new weather related record is broken and it's clear something needs to change to knock the world off its current trajectory.
The protest and similar protests in Germany, England, Senegal, South Korea and India are the largest since the start of Covid-19.
Protesters at Sunday’s event seemed to hold a common sentiment: the Biden administration has not done nearly enough for climate change. Moreover, representatives of the associated groups have warned that if Biden hopes to secure the young population’s vote, their climate demands must be met.
A large part of Biden’s presidential campaign related to his plans to end climate change. In general, the Biden administration has done well in working towards this goal; Biden has enacted numerous bills and executive orders designed to reduce carbon emissions and transition towards renewable energy. The Biden administration has also made significant progress in removal of carbon dioxide, both through natural (trees) and technological means (scrubbers). However, the Biden administration approved new oil drilling permits allowing expansion of operations in the Gulf of Mexico and elsewhere.
The group has threatened that without clear action against new fossil fuel drilling, they will not support Biden in the upcoming election. But that raises the question: if not Biden, then who else? Biden will likely be the democrat’s best shot at winning the 2024 presidential election and no republican candidates have made promises nearly as progressive as Biden’s. Moreover, Trump, the leading republican candidate, “scoffs entirely at the idea that the planet is warming” (New York Times).
In a polarized two party system, factions such as liberal climate change activists have no choice but to vote for “the best option” that most nearly represents their ideas. Although they believe that Biden has not followed through on his promises, realistically, they hold little negotiating power in regard to his actions since at the end of the day, they will likely have to choose between Biden and someone worse (in respect to progressive climate change promises).
Climate change related reforms are also an example of the government exercising power not explicitly mentioned in the constitution. While the constitution doesn’t directly give the National Government power to work on climate change, it is a necessary part of ensuring the future and current safety of the population and is thus within the scope of the national government.
Sources:
https://www.npr.org/2023/09/17/1200027693/thousands-expected-to-march-in-new-york-to-demand-that-biden-end-fossil-fuels https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/17/climate/climate-protests-new-york.html https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/17/march-to-end-fossil-fuels-new-york-city https://www.dw.com/en/climate-change-thousands-march-in-nyc-ahead-of-un-summit/a-66839873 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/19/opinion/climate-summit-2023-un.html
Monday, September 18, 2023
Iran Prisoner Exchange
Homeless Shelter in Millbrae
On September 12, 2023, the San Mateo County Board of Supervisors voted to purchase two hotels and turn them into homeless shelters. These hotels would be located in Millbrae and South San Francisco. In total, this plan would be able to bring 120 permanent residences for the homeless people of our community. Furthermore, the residents of these shelters would have access to healthcare and counseling.
On a 4 to 1 vote, the board agreed to purchase the Millbrae residence for $33 million and separately, they agreed to purchase the South San Francisco residence for $11 million. While this seems like a very optimistic plan, many locals are protesting the addition of homeless shelters.
(photo of the Millbrae Residence)
Some members of the community are concerned about increased tax rates as well as the safety of their children at a school near the shelter. Around 60 people protested the decision, urging supervisors to postpone and reconsider the decision. Even the mayor of Millbrae is opposing the sale, stating that the city is losing a vital source of revenue.
Although there are oppositions against this plan, ultimately San Mateo County has made their decision, despite all the backlash. I thought that this decision revealed the sense of superiority that the county has over the cities, and found it similar to the scope of the federal and state governments. Under the Constitution, specifically the Supremacy clause that we learned about, federal law trumps state law. I saw a connection here, where the county ruling trumped the city ruling.
I think that this issue is difficult to comment on, especially from someone not directly affected by the decision. On one hand, I believe that homelessness is a huge problem that needs to be addressed as soon as possible. Anyone who has walked in San Francisco can attest to how sad and sometimes scary seeing people living on the streets can be. Recently, there were also tents that showed up in Downtown San Mateo's Central Park. The reality is that lately, affordable housing is hard to come by. I also think that as a community, it is important that those who are able to give back should provide for the homeless. However, I also agree with citizens that having a homeless shelter near a school and within a community could potentially be scary, if not dangerous.
Websites used:
https://www.smcgov.org/ceo/news/county-purchase-two-hotels-convert-supportive-housing-key-step-countys-functional-zero
https://localnewsmatters.org/2023/09/15/community-upset-as-san-mateo-board-allows-to-turn-millbrae-hotel-into-homeless-housing/
https://www.ktvu.com/news/controversy-over-buying-la-quinta-inn-in-millbrae-for-homeless
https://www.nbcbayarea.com/news/local/peninsula/millbrae-hotel-housing-homeless-people/3316072/
https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/news/county-plan-to-purchase-millbrae-hotel-approved-despite-pushback/
https://hoodline.com/2023/09/millbrae-community-divided-over-33-million-hotel-conversion-for-homeless/








